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Picks are generally graded on a 1-3 Unit ("U") scale, with 3U being highest confidence level. 1U = your standard wager.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Kick-offs scheduled for 2:45PM EST
Plymouth/Liverpool Ov 3 (-120). I'm aware the first let was a 0-0 draw, and the line is a treacherous three, but with 28 attempts during leg one, Liverpool should be able repeat that performance and get 3 or 4 goals to drop during this rematch. Plymouth will be aggressive in vying for the upset with large home support behind them, only putting more pressure on the Reds to put the game out of reach early. I do think the Pilgrims efforts will pay off at least once, however, and get a goal past Liverpool. Final score prediction of 3-1 in favor of Liverpool.
Norwich/Southampton Ov 2.5 (-140). The first leg finished 2-2, and five of Norwich's last six games saw at least three goals scored. Southampton is the better side and will want to put this one away, and they should be good to net at least a pair again at St. Mary's and Norwich ought to provide us a third goal to cash the over. Final score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Southampton.
Tuesday, January 17, 2017
Hopefully I'll get a better grasp on things in a few days and be back to building towards a positive season, there is certainly plenty of time left to get back on the right side of things! Until then, best of luck!
England FA Cup
3U Lincoln City/Ipswich o2.5 (-135). Kick-off scheduled for 3PM EST.
Great looking over in today's FA Cup replay. The first leg drew 2-2, and both teams are on a nice stretch of high-scoring games. Lincoln City's gone over 2.5 total goals for seven straight games and six out of Ipswich's last seven games produced 3+ goals. Lincoln will be looking for the upset, which should give us an open game with plenty of scoring chances. I'm willing to stake 3U that at least three of those chances end with the ball in the back of the net.
Monday, January 16, 2017
We've started off 2017 on a nice run and are inching close to a positive-double-digit-unit month (Say that three times fast?) Current year-to-date record: 12-8, +9.4 Units.
One play today, which if victorious, we'll hit that 10U milestone:
Spain La Liga - Kick-off scheduled for 2:45PM EST
1U Malaga/Real Sociedad o2.5 (+100).
Recent form of both these teams suggest we ought to see some goals today. Malaga's conceded 14 goals in their previous five matches, but also scored 8 goals. Sociedad's allowed 7 and netted 5 in the same period. Both teams' matches are averaging about 3 goals score, which, of course, is the magic number for us to cash our unit...so I expect we meet or exceed that average at some point during the 90'+.
Saturday, January 14, 2017
Duke +4 at Louisville 1 unit
No Jefferson again for the Blue Devils, but their smaller lineup should help against this defense.
Penn State -1.5 vs Minnesota 2 units
Much improved Penn State team and they're tough at home with a good chance to pick up a quality conference win today.
Clemson +2.5 vs Virginia 1 unit
Tough stretch of games for the Tigers right now and they've taken 3 losses but they should bounce back in front of their home crowd today. Very athletic team that can attack a very good Virginia defense.
Virginia Tech -1.5 vs Notre Dame 2 units (2:00)
The Hokies haven't lost at home yet this season and I like their 3 point shooting and defense.
Friday, January 13, 2017
Games are listed by country/league and then start time (EST), so note that some are higher unit plays than others.
England Premier League
10:00AM 2U Bournemouth/Hull City Ov 2½ (-120). Four straight games witnessing at least three goals for Bournemouth, and four of Hull's last five have done the same. This would be due to the fact that the Cherries and Tigers both display very poor defending. Bottom-of-the-table Hull have conceded 44 goals in 20 league matches. Bournemouth isn't much better, allowing 34 so far this season. The musketeers know my affinity for leaky defending to lead to scoring, so we ought to reach a total of 3 without too much difficulty in this one.
11:00AM 2U Paris Saint-Germain/Rennais Ov 2½ (-110). PSG have thumped Rennais the last two times they played, both by a score of 4-0. In their last five Ligue 1 games, Les Parisiens have netted 10 goals, but let-in seven. Rennes averaged 1 goal scored and 1 goal allowed in their previous five Ligue 1 fixtures. I don't think we repeat history with a 4-0 PSG win, but a 2-1 or 3-0 PSG lead should arise before the final whistle.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
Miami -4.5 vs Notre Dame 2 units
Big game for the Canes in front of their home crowd, Notre Dame shoots the 3 well and Miami plays great defense against it, bounce back game for the Hurricanes as well after a loss to Syracuse.
Utah -5.5 vs USC 2 units
USC has struggled lately, losing 2 out of their last 3, Utah has taken care of business at home this season with 1 exception, I like Utah to be able to slow the USC offense enough to win this one by close to double digits.
Drexel +10 at Northeastern 1 unit
These two teams just played to a 5 point overtime game 10 days ago and was really low scoring before overtime, 61 all. Likely to see the same type of game only a few days later.
Iowa +5 vs Purdue 1 unit
Hawks have been a bit of a roller coaster but they seem to play to the level of their competition, I expect their pace and 3 point shooting ability to keep them in this one at home.
Colorado +5.5 vs UCLA 1 unit
First home game for the Buffs since December 22nd and after dropping 3 straight to start their conference season I like their defense to limit the potent Bruins offense. I'm looking for a court storming here.
Portland +12.5 vs St. Marys 1 unit
Both of these teams play at a crawl, with a game that's likely to be in the low 60 point range for the winner I'm taking a chance that this is just too many points on the road for the Gaels.