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Picks are generally graded on a 1-3 Unit ("U") scale, with 3U being highest confidence level. 1U = your standard wager.
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Thanks to @Chatham58 for the pic!
Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Wake Forest -7 vs Pitt 1 unit
Wake has lost 3 out of 4 but all the losses were to teams ranked in the Kenpom top 40 and all were on the road. I like them to roll tonight in front of their home crowd.
Kansas State -3.5 vs Oklahoma State 1 unit
Kansas State can take over fifth in the conference with a win here. They won by 8 at Oklahoma State earlier this season as well. The Wildcats have lost their last 3 at home so I'm keeping it a small play.
North Carolina -8 vs Louisville 1 unit
North Carolina plays a fast enough pace and has enough experience to handle the Louisville defense and pressure. A win here keeps them in sole possession of the ACC lead as well.
Northern Iowa/Indiana State under 123 1 unit
UNI has an atrocious offense and a great defense and plays at the speed of a turtle on a muscle relaxer. Indiana State hates to score. Should be a fun one to watch!
May have one more on a late game too.
Tuesday, February 21, 2017
Sunday, February 19, 2017
NC State +5.5 vs Notre Dame-1 unit loss, final score felt closer than the game did most of the way
Illinois +5 at Iowa-1 unit win, won straight up
Rhode Island -5 at George Mason-1 unit loss (up 17 at one point in this one, kind of a bummer)
TCU +6.5 at Iowa State-1 unit loss, Cyclones looking good lately
Long Beach State -7.5 at UC Santa Barbara-2 unit win, cruised by 18
Washington +10 vs Arizona-2 unit win, kept it close until under 2 minutes and then it turned into a miss a 3 foul miss a 3 foul type of game.
Today will probably involve some Twitter plays again since I'll be out and about, but here's what I've got so far to work with.
Wisconsin -8 vs Maryland 2 units
Wisconsin is a better defensive team and I think they'll have Koenig back today (he's still listed as questionable on everything I see but that's my gut feeling). The Badgers have lost 2 straight and we should see a more focused team today.
Detroit +8.5 vs Valparaiso 1 unit
7 point game when they played at Valpo, home court should be worth something here.
Keep an eye out for more @jtrottersluck and best of luck today!
Saturday, February 18, 2017
NC State +5.5 vs Notre Dame 1 unit
NC State has lost 11 of 14 and managed to get Gottfried canned now. This is their first game since that news though and I am making a small play thinking that the kids come out fired up and ready to play hard for him for the last few games of the season.
Friday, February 17, 2017
Oakland -1.5 vs Valpo 3 units
Cornell +1.5 at Dartmouth 2 units
Princeton -3 at Yale 2 units
Thursday, February 16, 2017
With the best gambling (long) weekend of the year coming up when the Tourney tips off, and more importantly MLB season around the corner, I decided I needed to get back into blogging form. Time to put down the wedding seating chart and pick up any spare change left behind the couch that hasn't been burned at holding down a venue and putting it towards something that really matters...giving money to my bookie...Just kidding, come on positive thoughts only, we're about +7 units since the hiatus (including this beauty), lets check out whats on the slate for tonight.
We were making a run back to .500 units wise, but took a bit of a hit last night. Officially at .500 picks wise at least before the conference championship week starts and blesses us with midweek degen day contests.
BBall Season Record: 79-79, -7.9 U's in College Ball (with a couple NBA mixed in)
Already tweeted out my card for tonight, but here is a little reasoning behind my investments:
Michigan -2 (-120, buying .5), 2U
Bronson Koenig was just downgraded from probable to doubtful, which is a big blow for a Wisconsin team not known to light the scoreboard on fire and losing their biggest outside threat isn't going to make matters better.
I think Mich has had this game circled for a while after losing to them on their home floor the last two times. Michigan gets it done tonight with their statement win of the season, and Derrick Walton leading the way.
Marshall Over 172, 1U
Marshall has the third highest tempo rating in the nation as well as owns one of the lowest times per possession. This team puts up a ton of shots and in turn allows their opponent to as well. UAB is the #2 offensive efficient team in the conference and shouldn't have trouble getting some points up. Marshall had a combined score with UTEP of 163 couple weeks ago and UTEP has one of the worst offenses in the nation for Pete Sake.
Celts -1, 1U
Nice little nugget that I think most people know by know is how well the Celts have performed under Brad Stevens on the second night of a back to back. They are 9-3 this season and have a similar record overall (A stat I can't seem to find right now but you will have to take my word for it).
Celts have won 11 of 12, and have really seemed to come together as everyone has carved out a role for themselves. Can't imagine the pitiful Bulls will put up much of a fight. D-Wade is out again for the Bulls as well.